We are down to 8 groups vying to be topped Tremendous Bowl LIII champions, and now it is time for the 4 best seeds to begin their playoff paths to Atlanta. The Chiefs first try to put away the scorching-hot Colts on Saturday sooner than the Rams glance to succeed in their offensive ceiling and outscore the Cowboys. On Sunday, the Chargers and Patriots will combat for a place within the AFC Championship Sport, then the Eagles will hope the Nick Foles magic continues in a showdown with the Saints.
We will take you recreation via recreation to expose how our mavens picked the traces for the divisional spherical and display you the entire nice puts you’ll be able to to find NFL choices communicate all the way through the week. Let’s get to it.
What NFL choices are you able to make with self belief all over the divisional spherical? And which Tremendous Bowl contenders pass down exhausting? Consult with SportsLine now to peer which NFL groups are successful greater than 50 % of simulations, all from the fashion that has crushed 98 % of mavens over the last two years.
As SportsLine’s No. 1 NFL skilled, I am Five-Zero in my ultimate 5 against-the-spread choices for or opposed to Kansas Town and 20-6-1 in my ultimate 27 involving the Colts, together with calling Indy masking at Houston and Tennessee the previous two weeks. Additionally, I went an ideal Four-Zero ATS on Wild Card Weekend! Over the last two-plus months, I am 55-31-2 opposed to the unfold, returning just about $2,100 to my NFL fans. I have were given a select up for this recreation and you’ll be able to test it out over at SportsLine.
“I like what Andrew Success, Frank Reich, and the Colts have carried out this season. They have now received 10 out in their previous 11 video games. However they have got but to stand a workforce just like the Chiefs in that span. The Chiefs are the league’s easiest workforce in the case of DVOA and yards in step with play. Andy Reid is masterful when he is coming off a bye. I believe we will see the Chiefs pop out with a super game-plan and pass up large early, and I am not certain how the Colts will have the ability to catch up in the event that they fall at the back of. Putting with the Chiefs is like being pressured to dash all through a marathon. I do not believe the Colts have it in them to take action.” — Sean Wagner-McGough, who is taking the Chiefs to win and canopy on this recreation.
“The Colts are on a roll, this means that they bring momentum into this one. However they’re enjoying the league’s easiest offense of their development, which can be an actual problem for a tender protection. I believe Patrick Mahomes could have a just right – no longer nice – day, because the Chiefs will give you the option to win this one overdue. The Colts will give you the option to hide the unfold … See Mahomes. See Andrew Success. See a nasty Chiefs protection. See various passing. This one gets into the mid-60s.” — Pete Prisco on why the Colts with the issues and the Over are two of his easiest bets this week.
“Dallas isn’t nice at the highway. The Rams are going to crowd the field and make Dak Prescott beat them. He is interception-prone. Jared Goff has thrown 22 TDs and handiest 3 INTs at house. The Cowboys simply performed the Seahawks, and groups that play Seattle get roughed up. The Rams are rested and in a position.” — Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg, who is 6-1-2 on his perfect bets during the last 3 weeks, on why the Rams protecting is a part of his three-team best-bet parlay at SportsLine this week.
“Wade Phillips vs. Jason Garrett is a few pleasant revenge. Sean McVay vs. Rod Marinelli is the fit to look at even though. The Cowboys snuffed out the Seahawks run recreation and Seattle did not regulate. Will McVay, the intense younger offensive thoughts, be capable to trade up how Los Angeles approaches this recreation? Will he attempt to drive Todd Gurley within the out of doors zone run scheme to arrange Jared Goff? Or will the Rams pop out throwing, understanding they are able to’t run towards Dallas. I am offered at the Cowboys protection at this time and I feel they pull off a surprising disillusioned.” — Will Brinson, who’s projecting the Cowboys win their method to the Tremendous Bowl.
“There is no such thing as a unmarried defender within the league who can spoil a recreation like Aaron Donald. The $135 million guy within the heart is essentially the most unblockable participant within the NFL, similarly in a position to beating defenders with a transfer to the interior or out of doors, with velocity or with energy, with method or with athleticism. The numbers he had this 12 months are directly out of a online game on Rookie mode: 59 tackles, a league-high 25 of them for a loss; 51 run stops, once more the absolute best general within the league, in keeping with Professional Soccer Focal point; 20.five sacks, an NFL-best; and 106 pressures (sacks plus hits plus hurries), greater than another participant in soccer. And all this as an inside lineman.” — Jared Dubin in his matchup breakdown of this recreation, during which he is predicting the ranking to fall inside of a box function.
“The Cowboys will have to glance to drag off the disillusioned through pounding the ball at the flooring towards one of the most worst rush defenses within the league, person who allowed a league-worst five.1 yards in keeping with elevate. Except for their rush protection, the Rams are an elite crew in all levels of the sport, so they’re going to pose an enormous take a look at for a Cowboys protection that simply benefited from the Seahawks enjoying to their defensive energy for 60 mins, for some reason why. As just right because the Cowboys protection has performed this 12 months, asking them to dominate at the highway could be too tricky to be expecting. 5 of the seven instances they gave up a minimum of 350 yards of offense got here at the highway. At the different aspect, the Rams totaled greater than 400 yards in seven in their 8 house video games, together with going over 500 towards two just right defenses (Vikings, Chargers). If they are able to flip this recreation right into a shootout, the Cowboys passing assault will wish to to find any other tools to take care of.” — R.J. White, and I additionally printed a frightening pattern for the house groups this weekend in my weekly pointers column.
Micah Roberts has labored within the Las Vegas sportsbook trade for 20 years, together with a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ guide director. Armed with an unrivaled community of assets, Roberts is on a 49-38 run choosing NFL spreads, and has been particularly adept at choosing video games involving each those groups. Roberts is on an epic 15-6 run on in opposition to the unfold choices involving the Chargers and has hit on 5 of 7 involving the Patriots! Any person who has adopted him is far up. See which aspect he is taking over at SportsLine.
“In [the 2007 season], it is the biggest ‘what if’ within the historical past of the Nationwide Soccer League. I held this from that day. Chargers had been +nine.five in Foxborough in opposition to the 17-Zero Patriots. I wager the Chargers, they misplaced 21-12 however they coated the unfold. … Now, 11 years later, it is time for Philip Rivers and the Chargers to complete what they must have began. Let’s get Norv Turner at the sideline. Let’s get LaDainian Tomlinson at the sideline. Get the nice juju there for the Chargers, ‘reason they have were given the blueprint to forestall the New England Patriots and Tom Brady — Joey Bosa, Melvin Ingram — Brady’s 41, and they will slam Brady to the bottom early and incessantly, and it is the Philip Rivers sport. Rivers will outplay Brady, the Chargers will cross into Foxborough and beat the Patriots.” — Nick Kostos, who can be joined by way of a cavalcade of NFL having a bet mavens on Saturday at three:30 p.m. ET and Sunday at midday ET for SportsLine’s NFL preview, the place the staff is going throughout the NFL slate each and every week and stocks what it’s important to know prior to hanging your bets.
“There are so much causes to love the Chargers on this sport. They are undefeated out of doors of Los Angeles this yr (Eight-Zero), Philip Rivers appears to be like unstoppable and so they arguably have the extra proficient roster. The issue with all of that is that I truly best have one rule in the case of choosing playoff video games and that rule is rarely select in opposition to the Patriots within the divisional spherical. Since 2011, the Patriots are 7-Zero within the divisional spherical and they have scored a median of 37.1 issues in the ones video games. The item I really like in regards to the Patriots this yr is that I feel they are going to pop out in their playoff bye totally refreshed. With Rob Gronkowski’s frame falling aside and Tom Brady getting aches the place 41-year-olds get aches, no staff wanted the bye greater than New England and so they were given it, and I don’t believe they are going to waste it.” — John Breech on why he thinks the Patriots will quilt
“There are causes to love the Chargers; they have got the No. Eight protection (10th in run protection, 10th in cross protection) and the No. three offense (first in dashing, 5th in passing). The Patriots, in the meantime, are No. Five in offense (9th in passing, fourth in dashing) however simply No. 16 in protection (19th in run protection, 14th in cross protection). And in contrast to earlier years, the place particular groups used to be a made up our minds legal responsibility for the Chargers, it is now … alternative degree. Given fresh historical past, that is a win in our guide. Kicker Michael Badgley made 94 % of his makes an attempt within the common season and used to be Five of 6 towards the Ravens within the wild-card spherical. In a recreation which may be made up our minds by means of a box function, that is large.” — Ryan Wilson on why he is taking the Chargers to tug off the disenchanted.
A West Coast-based analyst who is gained a large number of handicapping contests, Josh Nagel has his finger at the Eagles pulse: All-time at SportsLine, he is Eight-2 in towards the unfold choices involving the protecting Tremendous Bowl champions. That is an insane 80 % money charge! That comes with nailing either one of his Eagles choices this season. Nagel went with Philly (-Five.Five) in its 28-13 win over the Redskins on Dec. three, and took the Eagles (-1) of their season-opening 18-12 win over the Falcons. You’ll see which facet of this recreation he likes over at SportsLine.
“I just like the Saints on this matchup, however the unfold is simply too huge. I feel New Orleans and Drew Brees are higher supplied to benefit from the Eagles makeshift secondary than Mitch Trubisky and the Bears have been, in particular at house within the Superdome. It is simply, I feel the Eagles may have good fortune on offense too. The Saints protection has been nice towards the run this 12 months, however it is been vulnerable to passing assaults, and I feel Nick Foles and corporate can exploit them there as smartly. Which is likely one of the largest causes I do not need to contact this unfold, as a result of I feel the Eagles are just right sufficient to hide, however I do not need to wager towards the Saints at house in a playoff recreation. Fortunately we now have this general, which I imagine is just a bit too low.” — Tom Fornelli, who is making the Over on this matchup considered one of his very best bets
Nick Kostos: “You have a look at the road, and the road tells you to take the New Orleans Saints. Clearly, the entire pub at this time is at the Eagles. The narrative is that Nick Foles is the best quarterback of all-time, which is clearly so preposterous that I am not going to spend any other 2d on it. However truly, how do you move in opposition to them although? Foles would possibly now not if truth be told be Joe Montana, however he performs like him in those giant spots right here. It is very tricky to wager in opposition to the Eagles right here … however I believe I’ve to.”
Pete Prisco: “I am at the Nick Foles teach now not as a result of Nick Foles, I am at the Eagles for the reason that greatest distinction within the Eagles over the past month has been the play in their offensive line and line of defense, and that typically travels within the postseason. I believe the Eagles are the play right here.”
R.J. White: “I have were given one participant prop for you: Alvin Kamara +170 to attain two or extra TDs on this sport.”
Will Brinson: “Wow!”
White: “And the reason being he is scored in 9 video games this 12 months, however six of them he scored two times. And you then have a look at what the Eagles were doing, they’ve hassle adjusting in-game. Take a look at the blokes they have performed lately … Individuals are scoring on them time and again doing the similar issues and it is running, and for no matter reason why they are now not getting their changes.”
Brinson: “Whilst you have a look at what Sean Payton and Drew Brees have completed at house within the playoffs, they are Five-Zero at house within the playoffs all-time … They have by no means now not coated one with Brees and Payton. Whilst you have a look at Drew Brees and Sean Payton over the past 10 years with two weeks to organize for an opponent, it is 11 video games — 10 within the common season, one within the playoffs — they are Nine-2 and 10-1 in opposition to the unfold, and in the ones video games they’ve some degree other of plus-116.”